In Part 2 , I repeated the same analysis at the state-by-state level and found that Trump also didn’t do especially well in the battleground states, but he won because the handful of states he flipped narrowly from the Democrats were almost all large states. But did Trump win – or did Hillary lose? Those aren’t separate questions, but to get a better handle on what really happened, we need to look beyond the two-party percentages to turnout.