History suggests, but doesn’t dictate, a midterm power shift

Orange County voters will fill seats for mayor, council and school board on Nov. 6. If history shows anything about midterm elections, it's that the sitting president's political party often - but not always - has a tough night. In 35 out of 38 midterm elections held since the end of the Civil War the president's party has lost seats in the House, according to the Cook Political Report.