The Coalition denies emissions will rise if it wins the election. What do the facts say?

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We break down the major parties’ climate claims, counter-claims and policies – and find out what the experts say

The Coalition has disputed claims that greenhouse gas emissions would be higher if it won the election than under a returned Labor government. It points to its record between 2013 and 2022 compared with what has happened under Labor over the past three years.

Speaking to the ABC’s RN Breakfast on Monday, the Coalition climate change and energy spokesperson, Ted O’Brien, said “under the former Coalition government you saw emissions fall” – from 12% to 29% less than 2005 levels. And that in Labor’s three years in office emissions “have flatlined”, showing the ALP has “failed”.

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Guardian Essential poll: Labor leads Coalition in final pre-election poll as Dutton’s approval rating slips further

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Poll also finds most Australians voting based on who will leave them better off in three years – rather than comparing situation to three years ago

Anthony Albanese holds an election-winning lead with just days left of the campaign, according to the latest Guardian Essential poll, with Labor leading the Coalition 52% to 48% on a two-party basis.

Albanese’s approval ratings have ticked up slightly since the last poll two weeks ago, but Peter Dutton’s has slipped for the fourth poll in a row, with the Liberal leader’s public standing dropping as the campaign has progressed. The Essential poll shows more people have switched their support to Labor because of the campaign over recent weeks, and that two-thirds of Australians say they’re voting based on who will leave them better off in three years – rather than comparing their situation to where it was three years ago.

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Trump-China tariff war: Who’s winning so far? – Al Jazeera

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  1. Trump-China tariff war: Who’s winning so far?  Al Jazeera
  2. Why Trump is losing his trade war with China  vox.com
  3. Amid a trade war, Xi Jinping may be purging China’s armed forces  The Economist
  4. US-China trade war: Escalate to de-escalate to escalate?  Responsible Statecraft
  5. With China and the US at intense economic odds, other nations are being forced to choose sides  AP News
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Israel has turned Gaza into a ‘mass grave’, top UN court hears – as it happened

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ICJ holding hearing about Israel’s obligation to facilitate aid to Gaza and the West Bank amid the outlawing of Unrwa. This live blog is closed

Israeli attacks on Gaza have killed at least 24 people across the territory since dawn, Al Jazeera is reporting. In Jabalia, in northern Gaza, 10 family members were reportedly killed in an airstrike, while eight people in another family were killed in a separate airstrike.

Tehran has accused Benjamin Netanyahu of trying to dictate US policy in negotiations after the Israeli prime minister repeated calls for Iran’s entire nuclear infrastructure to be dismantled.

Israel’s fantasy that it can dictate what Iran may or may not do is so detached from reality that it hardly merits a response.

What is striking, however, is how brazenly Netanyahu is now dictating what President Trump can and cannot do in his diplomacy with Iran…

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Treasury Targets Vessels Delivering Oil Derivatives to the Houthis – U.S. Department of the Treasury (.gov)

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  1. Treasury Targets Vessels Delivering Oil Derivatives to the Houthis  U.S. Department of the Treasury (.gov)
  2. US Treasury targets Houthi-linked vessels to disrupt efforts to fund 'dangerous and destabilizing attacks'  Fox News
  3. US sanctions target deliveries of oil and gas to Houthis  Reuters
  4. US Treasury Targets Three Tankers for Delivering Oil Products to Houthi-Controlled Ports  gCaptain
  5. US sanctions hit ships delivering oil, gas to Houthi rebels  New York Post
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Exclusive-Pakistan defence minister says military incursion by India is imminent – Yahoo News UK

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  1. Exclusive-Pakistan defence minister says military incursion by India is imminent  Yahoo News UK
  2. Exclusive: Pakistan defence minister says military incursion by India is imminent  Reuters
  3. "When They Shot Your Mother...": Asaduddin Owaisi Slams Pak's Bilawal Bhutto  NDTV
  4. Undermining the Indus Waters Treaty imperils Indian security  Financial Times
  5. Kashmir: An all-out India-Pakistan war is unlikely  DW
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African diplomats urge UK government to back bill to speed up debt restructurings

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Exclusive: Countries are struggling to manage expensive loans, with much of debt transacted through London

Diplomats from eight southern and east African countries have signed a letter calling on the UK government to support a private member’s bill that aims to speed up debt restructurings, after economic crises meant countries were unable to pay back loans.

Poor countries’ economies have been hit by a series of global events in recent years, including the coronavirus pandemic, which reduced growth; the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which sent inflation soaring; and raised US interest rates, which have pushed up the cost of international loans to often unaffordable levels.

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Crime Novelist Murdered on Houseboat – Newser

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  1. Crime Novelist Murdered on Houseboat  Newser
  2. Police launch murder investigation after bestselling novelist found dead on houseboat  CNN
  3. Bestselling German novelist found killed on Hamburg houseboat  The Guardian
  4. Bestselling Novelist Found Dead in 'Violent' Circumstances on Houseboat — and Killer Remains on the Loose  People.com
  5. Germany: Police probe death of author Alexandra Fröhlich  DW
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