Category Archives: Bank of England

Digital pound should not be considered until risks addressed, MPs warn

Posted on by

Treasury select committee highlights concerns over data privacy and increased possibility of bank runs

The idea of creating a digital pound should not even be considered until the UK government and Bank of England address concerns over data privacy and the increased risk of bank runs, a parliamentary committee has warned.

MPs on the Treasury select committee said that while it was true that the rollout of a central bank digital currency could trigger fresh innovation and competition in the payments sector, serious questions remained about whether the positive effects outweighed the risks and costs.

Continue reading...

US economy grew faster than expected as businesses invested – business live

Posted on by

Rolling coverage of business as US revises up GDP growth in third quarter to fastest pace of 2023

At lunchtime in the UK and western Europe markets are fairly flat all around.

The UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 has barely moved, although grocery delivery company Ocado is the top gainer, up 4.8%. (An Ocado director buying shares may have helped.) Trainer retailer JD Sports was the second biggest, up 4.5%.

These allegations are false, not true, incorrect, are not accurate. And it’s an attempt to undermine the work of the COP28 presidency,

I promise you, never ever did I see these talking points that they refer to or that I ever even used such talking points in my discussions.

Continue reading...

Central banks ‘risk tipping UK and other developed countries into recession’

Posted on by

Stance on inflation poses threat to ‘soft landing’ forecast for global economy, says OECD

Continued tough action by central banks to tackle stubborn inflation risks tipping Britain and other developed countries into recession next year, the west’s leading economic thinktank has warned.

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said the chances of policymakers getting it wrong were “pretty high” and posed a threat to its central “soft landing” forecast for the global economy.

Continue reading...

Andy Burnham claims government note shows Covid tier 3 restrictions imposed on Manchester as ‘punishment beating’ – as it happened

Posted on by

Covid tier system introduced in October 2020 and imposed different restrictions on English regions in effort to contain spread of virus. This live blog is closed

At the Covid inquiry Sadiq Khan, the mayor of London, said that he was not getting information from the government in February about Covid. He said he was “disappointed” by that.

In late February and early March he was getting information from other cities around the world instead, he said. He said this happened even though his foreign affairs team consisted of just three people.

The government generally does give us information about a variety of things happening. I’m disappointed the government weren’t giving us information in February about what they knew then.

Continue reading...

Bank of England sounds out buyers for Metro Bank including NatWest

Posted on by

JP Morgan also approached as Metro reportedly tries to thrash out rescue package with investors

The Bank of England’s regulatory arm is understood to have approached a number of big lenders in the past few days, including NatWest and JP Morgan Chase, to see if they had any interest in the embattled high street rival Metro Bank.

JP Morgan Chase examined a potential bid to take over the whole of Metro after speaking to the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) but decided on Saturday night not to go ahead with it, a source said.

Continue reading...

UK firms ‘slow output and rein in hiring as borrowing costs rise’

Posted on by

Survey of businesses gives further indication that Bank of England could limit future interest rate rises

Businesses are pulling back on hiring and slowing their output under the strain of rising borrowing costs, according to a study that gives a further signal that the Bank of England could limit future interest rate rises.

A modest pickup in manufacturing in August failed to prevent a slowdown in broader UK private sector economic activity, a survey of businesses by the accountancy firm BDO found.

Continue reading...

Mountain view: Bank top economist offers two routes to beating inflation

Posted on by

Huw Pill says he prefers longer, more steady use of interest rates of Table Mountain model over sharp rise and fall of Matterhorn approach

Tourist attraction, backdrop to millions of selfies and one of the world’s most easily identifiable landmarks. Cape Town’s Table Mountain is all of these things, but now it has found a new role: as a guide to what will happen to UK interest rates.

For Huw Pill the opportunity was too good to pass up. Invited by South Africa’s central bank to speak at a high-level conference, the Bank of England’s chief economist said there were two ways for Threadneedle Street to bring UK inflation back to the government’s 2% target.

Continue reading...

Risk of UK recession at next general election is 60%, says thinktank

Posted on by

Economic experts say it will take until third quarter of 2024 for output to return to pre-pandemic peak

Rishi Sunak will fight the next election against a backdrop of an economy suffering from five years of lost growth and a widening of the gap between the prosperous and less well off parts of Britain, a leading thinktank said on Wednesday.

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) said it would take until the third quarter of 2024 for UK output to return to its pre-pandemic peak and that there was a 60% risk of the government going to the polls during a recession.

Continue reading...

Fears of food inflation rise as UK harvests hit by cool, wet summer

Posted on by

Farmers warn wheat, oilseed rape, potatoes and other crops have been affected after wettest July on record

UK farmers have warned that harvests of wheat, oilseed rape, potatoes and other crops have been hit by the cool, wet summer, raising fears of further food price inflation.

The wettest July on record for parts of the UK risks colliding with rising prices of essential ingredients on global markets due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and unpredictable weather affecting harvests from southern Europe to China.

Continue reading...

More pain in store – tough-talking Bank raises UK interest rates and a few eyebrows

Posted on by

Rise to 5.25% comes as no surprise but Bank of England’s language will frighten many

If it isn’t hurting it isn’t working. That was the message from John Major, then chancellor, in 1989 during a previous period when interest rates were being used to combat high inflation. And it was the message rammed home by the Bank of England on Thursday.

Any hard-pressed households or struggling business looking for comfort from Threadneedle Street would have been disappointed by news that the pain will continue and is likely to intensify. Interest rates may not yet have peaked.

Continue reading...

Bank of England warns interest rates will remain high for at least two years

Posted on by

Policymakers vote for quarter-point rise to 5.25% – the 14th hike in a row – but BoE rules out prospect of recession

The Bank of England has warned businesses and households that the cost of borrowing will remain high for at least the next two years as it raised interest rates for the 14th consecutive time to 5.25%.

Ruling out the likelihood of a recession over the next two years, policymakers blamed strong wages growth in recent months for the need to increase interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to the highest level for 15 years.

Continue reading...

TUC urges Bank of England to halt ‘reckless’ interest rate increases

Posted on by

Unions say widespread job losses in recent months have left UK ‘teetering on the brink of recession’

The TUC has urged the Bank of England to call a halt to interest rate increases after warning that widespread job losses in recent months have left the UK “teetering on the brink of recession”.

Employment had fallen in more than half of Britain’s 20 industrial sectors in the three months to June, the union body said as it predicted a fresh increase in the cost of borrowing would put tens of thousands more livelihoods at risk.

Continue reading...

UK interest rates need to stay higher for longer to beat inflation, says IMF

Posted on by

US Fed will also have to raise rates more aggressively than forecast, says Washington-based body

Interest rates in the UK will need to stay higher for longer than previously forecast in order to tackle stubbornly high inflation, the International Monetary Fund has warned.

The IMF’s regular update on the state of the global economy singled out the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England as two central banks that will need to raise official borrowing costs more aggressively than it assumed only three months ago.

Continue reading...

Bank of England’s quantitative easing scheme let ‘inflation take root’

Posted on by

UK economy became reliant on cheap money due to the Bank’s actions, warns former permanent secretary to the Treasury

The Bank of England’s quantitative easing money-printing programme enabled high inflation to take root in Britain, while creating “windfall gains” for the rich, a former Treasury mandarin has warned.

Nick Macpherson, who was permanent secretary to the Treasury under the last Labour government and during David Cameron’s premiership, said the central bank’s £895bn bond-buying stimulus programme had gone “too far” and made the inflation shock hitting Britain worse.

Continue reading...

‘We’re kicking ourselves that we didn’t do a five-year mortgage fix in 2021’

Posted on by

Anguished families talk about how the Bank of England’s 13th consecutive interest hike is affecting them – and their fears for the future

Liam, 36, a senior IT manager and married father-of-one from Newcastle upon Tyne, is one of millions of homeowners whose mortgage payments will rise even higher after the Bank of England on Thursday put up the base interest rate to 5% – a 15-year high.

Together with his husband, Liam bought his four-bedroom house in 2019 for £269k, and the couple’s three-year mortgage deal, refixed at 1.64% in 2020 just before the first lockdown, expired in March.

Continue reading...

Bank of England faces flak as economic history fails to repeat itself

Posted on by

Critics say Bank should pay less attention to economic models and more to what is happening on the ground

With Thursday’s 0.5 percentage point increase in interest rates to 5%, the Bank of England is hoping to land a knockout blow against inflation.

The latest hike is an admission that 12 rises over more than 18 months have not been enough to tackle the problem. Or, as the minutes said, the impact of shocks from Covid and the energy price crisis “were likely to take longer to unwind than they had done to emerge”, adding that the risks of inflation remaining high “were skewed to the upside”.

Continue reading...

Sunak, Hunt and homebuyers brace for an economic Big Wednesday

Posted on by

The midweek inflation bulletin could be the most significant piece of government data published this year

This Wednesday will mark the longest day of the year and not long after the sun comes up the Office for National Statistics (ONS) will publish its latest cost of living bulletin. To say the data is eagerly awaited is an understatement. There is unlikely to be a more significant piece of official data released in the current parliament.

The reason is simple. Despite raising interest rates 12 times since December 2021 in an attempt to quell upward price pressures, inflation is proving harder to shift than the Bank of England imagined.

Continue reading...

UK homeowners face huge rise in payments when fixed-rate mortgages expire

Posted on by

More than 2.4m deals are ending in 2024, raising fears of financial timebomb

More than a quarter of UK homeowners on a fixed-rate mortgage are heading for sharp increase in monthly payments before the next election, in a financial timebomb that will rock the Conservatives just as voters prepare to choose the next government.

With the Bank of England expected to increase its key interest rate next week for the 13th time, figures shared with the Guardian by UK Finance, the banking industry trade body, show more than 2.4m fixed-rate homeowner deals will expire between now and the end of 2024.

Continue reading...

UK wage growth jumps, making interest rate rise more likely

Posted on by

Unemployment rate unexpectedly falls to 3.8% in three months to April, in sign of strength for jobs market

UK wages grew at a faster than expected pace in April, reinforcing expectations the Bank of England will raise interest rates next week.

Figures from the Office for National Statistics show growth in average regular pay, excluding bonuses, strengthened to 7.2% in the three months to April – the highest level on record, excluding the Covid pandemic.

Continue reading...

Rishi Sunak warned over possible UK recession in 2024

Posted on by

High inflation likely to push interest rates above 5% and force up mortgage and loan payments just ahead of election

Rishi Sunak has been warned the UK economy could be in recession next year as stubbornly high inflation pushes interest rates to more than 5% before the next general election.

Setting the stage for a further rise in borrowing costs on mortgages and loans for millions of households, economists predicted the Bank of England could be forced to drive Britain’s economy into a recession to tame inflation.

Continue reading...