Interpretation of the news based on evidence, including data, as well as anticipating how events might unfold based on past events Marine Le Pen, France’s presidential candidate and leader of the French National Front, in Paris on Feb. 28. SINCE THE election of President Trump, the biggest question in Western politics has been whether a version of his populist insurgency, and the similar anti-establishment fever that prompted Britain’s vote to leave the European Union, will spread to the Netherlands, France and Germany in elections scheduled for the coming months.